10/10/2016

2016 Nobel Prize in Economics for Work on Contracts





Oliver Hart and Bengt Holmstrom were awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Science  on Monday for improving the design of contracts, the deals that bind together employers and their workers, or companies and their customers.
Dr. Hart, a professor at Harvard, and Dr. Holmstrom, a professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, have sought to determine how contracts can encourage mutually beneficial behavior.
Their work has helped to shape the way companies pay senior executives and when governments decide to hire private companies to provide public services.
Dr. Holmstrom’s work has focused on employment contracts. Companies would like employees to behave as if they owned the place: working hard, minding costs but also taking smart risks. Employees, on the other hand, would like to be paid as much as possible, for as long as possible, while working no harder than necessary. And performance is difficult to assess.
Dr. Hart’s work has focused on a related issue: Contracts are incomplete instruction manuals. They cannot specify what should be done in every case. Instead, they must stipulate how decisions should be made.
“His research provides us with theoretical tools for studying questions such as which kinds of companies should merge, the proper mix of debt and equity financing, and which institutions such as schools or prisons ought to be privately or publicly owned,” the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, which awarded the prize, said in a news release, referring to Dr. Hart.
Dr. Holmstrom, speaking via an audio connection to a news conference hosted by the academy, said he had been “very surprised and very happy” to get the news. Asked how his day was going, he said there was “a sense of things being surreal.”
Dr. Hart said he had hugged his wife, roused his son from sleep and then spoken by phone with Dr. Holmstrom, whom he has known for years. Both scholars teach in Cambridge, Mass.
“I woke at about 4:40 and was wondering whether it was getting too late for it to be this year, but then fortunately the phone rang,” Dr. Hart said.
Dr. Holmstrom’s work, beginning in the late 1970s, presented evidence that companies should tie pay to the broadest possible evaluation of an employee’s performance.
One important implication of his work is that it makes sense to wait and see how things turn out. That can be done by setting aside a portion of compensation. If the company benefits, the value of the bonus set aside can be increased. If the company does not, it can be reduced.
Companies have turned increasingly to this kind of deferred compensation, particularly for senior executives, a trend Dr. Holmstrom noted with satisfaction on Monday morning.
He has also found that companies should tie pay to the share price of other firms in the same industry. It makes little sense to reward an executive for an increase that reflects broader economic factors, or to punish them for setbacks beyond their control.
Much of Dr. Holmstrom’s subsequent work has focused on a variety of important wrinkles. He noted, for example, that measuring results can cause problems, too, by encouraging employees to focus on those parts of their jobs. Paying teachers based on test results, for example, may lead them to devote less time to teaching other skills. This suggests that employers should balance fixed pay with performance incentives.
One of Dr. Hart’s most important insights is that the power to make decisions is, in effect, a form of compensation. His work has shown that it makes sense to give the decision-making power to the parties whose performance is most difficult for the owners to assess and reward.
Investors in a company, for example, are well served by giving money and control to the executives in exchange for the promise of a fixed return and the right to seize control if things go badly. This illuminates the underlying logic of most lending.
“Incomplete-contract theory predicts that entrepreneurs should have the right to make most decisions in their firms as long as performance is good, but investors should have more decision rights when performance deteriorates,” the academy said in an explanation of Mr. Hart’s work.  

 Who Are the Winners?
Dr. Hart, 68, was born in London. He studied at University College London, Cambridge University and Warwick University, all in England, before receiving his Ph.D. in 1974 from Princeton. He has been a professor of economics at Harvard since 1993.
Dr. Holmstrom, 67, was born in Helsinki, Finland. He received his Ph.D. in 1978 from Stanford and has been a professor of economics and management at M.I.T.  since 1994. He previously taught at Northwestern and Yale.

Press HERE to read Oliver Hart’s and Bengt Holmström’s 6-page Contract Theory, the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics Sciences